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       log:  D:\StayingAlive\Chapter9Replication\CrisesandLeaders\postcrisisregimechange.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:  15 Feb 2004, 21:21:54

. do "C:\DOCUME~1\JAMESM~1\LOCALS~1\Temp\STD00000000.tmp"

. use crisesandinstitutionalchange

. 
. * The next line produces Table 9.11.
. 
. tab2 largeW postlargeW if externalleaderchange == 1, all exact row

-> tabulation of largeW by postlargeW if externalleaderchange == 1 

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |      postlargeW
    largeW |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         0 |        28          5 |        33 
           |     84.85      15.15 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |         3          1 |         4 
           |     75.00      25.00 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |        31          6 |        37 
           |     83.78      16.22 |    100.00 

          Pearson chi2(1) =   0.2547   Pr = 0.614
 likelihood-ratio chi2(1) =   0.2293   Pr = 0.632
               Cram�r's V =   0.0830
                    gamma =   0.3023  ASE = 0.569
          Kendall's tau-b =   0.0830  ASE = 0.189
           Fisher's exact =                 0.524
   1-sided Fisher's exact =                 0.524

. 
. * The next line shows changes in S discussed on pp. 452-53.
. 
. tab2 S postS if externalleaderchange == 1 &  postlargeW == 0, all exact row

-> tabulation of S by postS if externalleaderchange == 1 &  postlargeW == 0 

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

Selectorat |   Selectorate size
    e size |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         0 |         1          2 |         3 
           |     33.33      66.67 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |         0          6 |         6 
           |      0.00     100.00 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |         1          8 |         9 
           |     11.11      88.89 |    100.00 

          Pearson chi2(1) =   2.2500   Pr = 0.134
 likelihood-ratio chi2(1) =        .
               Cram�r's V =   0.5000
                    gamma =   1.0000  ASE = 0.000
          Kendall's tau-b =   0.5000  ASE = 0.234
           Fisher's exact =                 0.333
   1-sided Fisher's exact =                 0.333

. 
. * The next two lines produce Tables 9.12a and 9.12b.
. 
. tab2 internalleaderchange postlargeW if largeW == 0 & lose == 1, all exact row

-> tabulation of internalleaderchange by postlargeW if largeW == 0 & lose == 1 

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

internalle |      postlargeW
aderchange |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         0 |       405         41 |       446 
           |     90.81       9.19 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |       179         46 |       225 
           |     79.56      20.44 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |       584         87 |       671 
           |     87.03      12.97 |    100.00 

          Pearson chi2(1) =  16.7779   Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2(1) =  15.9067   Pr = 0.000
               Cram�r's V =   0.1581
                    gamma =   0.4348  ASE = 0.094
          Kendall's tau-b =   0.1581  ASE = 0.041
           Fisher's exact =                 0.000
   1-sided Fisher's exact =                 0.000

. tab2 internalleaderchange postlargeW if largeW == 1 & lose == 1, all exact row

-> tabulation of internalleaderchange by postlargeW if largeW == 1 & lose == 1 

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

internalle |      postlargeW
aderchange |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         0 |        34         56 |        90 
           |     37.78      62.22 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |        17         53 |        70 
           |     24.29      75.71 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |        51        109 |       160 
           |     31.87      68.13 |    100.00 

          Pearson chi2(1) =   3.3008   Pr = 0.069
 likelihood-ratio chi2(1) =   3.3526   Pr = 0.067
               Cram�r's V =   0.1436
                    gamma =   0.3086  ASE = 0.160
          Kendall's tau-b =   0.1436  ASE = 0.077
           Fisher's exact =                 0.087
   1-sided Fisher's exact =                 0.049

. 
. * Cool stuff Bruce cut: The next tables address changes in selection institutions
. * by winning leaders.  In the first table, leaders who went to war with a small
. * winning coalition are more likely to expand it if they fought for policy aims.
. * In the second table, leaders who went to war with a large winning coalition
. * are more likely to shrink it to small if they fought for territory.
. 
. tab2 territory postlargeW if largeW == 0 & win == 1 & internalleaderchange == 0, all exact
>  row

-> tabulation of territory by postlargeW if largeW == 0 & win == 1 & internalleaderchange ==
>  0 

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |      postlargeW
 territory |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         0 |       229         47 |       276 
           |     82.97      17.03 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |        67          4 |        71 
           |     94.37       5.63 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |       296         51 |       347 
           |     85.30      14.70 |    100.00 

          Pearson chi2(1) =   5.8489   Pr = 0.016
 likelihood-ratio chi2(1) =   7.0083   Pr = 0.008
               Cram�r's V =  -0.1298
                    gamma =  -0.5493  ASE = 0.188
          Kendall's tau-b =  -0.1298  ASE = 0.039
           Fisher's exact =                 0.014
   1-sided Fisher's exact =                 0.009

. tab2 territory postlargeW if largeW == 1 & win == 1 & internalleaderchange == 0, all exact
>  row

-> tabulation of territory by postlargeW if largeW == 1 & win == 1 & internalleaderchange ==
>  0 

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |      postlargeW
 territory |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         0 |        11        199 |       210 
           |      5.24      94.76 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |         8         13 |        21 
           |     38.10      61.90 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |        19        212 |       231 
           |      8.23      91.77 |    100.00 

          Pearson chi2(1) =  27.3036   Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2(1) =  17.1094   Pr = 0.000
               Cram�r's V =  -0.3438
                    gamma =  -0.8352  ASE = 0.083
          Kendall's tau-b =  -0.3438  ASE = 0.104
           Fisher's exact =                 0.000
   1-sided Fisher's exact =                 0.000

. 
. * More cool stuff Bruce cut: after a draw, states with small winning coalitions
. * are more likely to change to large winning coalitions if they remove their
. * leader (next line).  After a draw, state with large winning coalitions are
. * more likely to shrink to a small winning coalition system if they remove
. * their leader.
. 
. tab2 internalleaderchange postlargeW if largeW == 0 & draw == 1 & revtype ~= 7, all exact 
> row

-> tabulation of internalleaderchange by postlargeW if largeW == 0 & draw == 1 & revtype ~= 
> 7 

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

internalle |      postlargeW
aderchange |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         0 |     2,013        181 |     2,194 
           |     91.75       8.25 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |       377         89 |       466 
           |     80.90      19.10 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |     2,390        270 |     2,660 
           |     89.85      10.15 |    100.00 

          Pearson chi2(1) =  49.6041   Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2(1) =  42.6379   Pr = 0.000
               Cram�r's V =   0.1366
                    gamma =   0.4484  ASE = 0.056
          Kendall's tau-b =   0.1366  ASE = 0.023
           Fisher's exact =                 0.000
   1-sided Fisher's exact =                 0.000

. tab2 internalleaderchange postlargeW if largeW == 1 & draw == 1 & revtype ~= 7, all exact 
> row

-> tabulation of internalleaderchange by postlargeW if largeW == 1 & draw == 1 & revtype ~= 
> 7 

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

internalle |      postlargeW
aderchange |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         0 |       119      1,145 |     1,264 
           |      9.41      90.59 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |        70        438 |       508 
           |     13.78      86.22 |    100.00 
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |       189      1,583 |     1,772 
           |     10.67      89.33 |    100.00 

          Pearson chi2(1) =   7.2459   Pr = 0.007
 likelihood-ratio chi2(1) =   6.9352   Pr = 0.008
               Cram�r's V =  -0.0639
                    gamma =  -0.2119  ASE = 0.077
          Kendall's tau-b =  -0.0639  ASE = 0.025
           Fisher's exact =                 0.008
   1-sided Fisher's exact =                 0.005

. 
. clear

. 
end of do-file

. log close
       log:  D:\StayingAlive\Chapter9Replication\CrisesandLeaders\postcrisisregimechange.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:  15 Feb 2004, 21:22:07
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